Pokemon GO


Shinies

This is the output of my wild shiny eligible encounter log script since November 16, 2018, as well as a record of all shinies encountered since that date. The first three lines are the summaries for two accounts labelled "maya" and "mali". I've only kept careful track of the encounters for "maya" but it's a reasonable assumption that second account (used by my daughter) is nearly identical.

The second group of lines are the counts of shiny eligible encounters at different dates (first column) followed by the cumulative count of encounters since start date (second column), count since last date (third column), and the total number of encounters of the shiny eligible species (fourth column). This fourth column of course is not very useful and primarily serves as a sanity check.

The third group of lines is shinies actually encountered. The prefix "s" followed by the date of the encounter(s), followed by four columns of counts (wild shinies-maya, wild shinies-mali, other shinies-maya, other shinies-mali) and then the identities of the shinies. The wild shinies come first and then other shinies (events, community days, shiny meltan, etc.) come after the "|" symbol.

I also have all the raw counts for each shiny eligible species which was processed to generate the data below which I can make available upon request or will put it up at some point.

maya: 180 wild shinies from ~65322 encounters (rate: 362.9) + 265 event/community day shinies = 445 total since 16nov18
mali: 154 wild shinies from ~65322 encounters (rate: 424.2) + 196 event/community day shinies = 350 total since 16nov18
cumulative rate is one wild shiny for every 391.1 encounters

16nov18    0    0 34812
17nov18   63   63 34875
18nov18  208  145 35020
20nov18  284   76 35096
21nov18  379   95 35191
22nov18  535  156 35347
23nov18  572   37 35384
25nov18  730  158 35542
27nov18  784   54 35596
28nov18  829   45 35641
30nov18  877   48 35689
03dec18 1459  582 36271
06dec18 1533   74 36345
12dec18 1679  146 36491
15dec18 1740   61 36552
19dec18 1899  159 36711
26dec18 2169  270 36981
27dec18 2239   70 37051
03jan19 2474  235 37286
11jan19 2622  148 37434
16jan19 2738  116 37550
22jan19 3091  353 37903
27jan19 3283  192 38095
28jan19 3393  110 38205
30jan19 3470   77 38282
04feb19 3619  149 38431
07feb19 3702   83 38514
11feb19 3860  158 38672
17feb19 4092  232 38904
20feb19 4168   76 38980
23feb19 4482  314 39294
28feb19 4658  176 39470
05mar19 4877  219 39689
11mar19 5190  313 40002
20mar19 5572  382 40384
26mar19 5789  217 40601
05apr19 6316  527 41128
11apr19 6497  181 41309
13apr19 6594   97 41406
21apr19 7023  429 41835
22apr19 7247  224 42059
28apr19 7423  176 42235
02may19 7643  220 42455
18may19 8379  736 43191
21may19 8516  137 43328
11jun19 9467  951 44279
15jun19 10348  881 45160
29jun19 10811  463 45623
05jul19 11462  651 46274
13jul19 11743  281 46555
26jul19 12166  423 46978
28jul19 12568  402 47380
12aug19 13433  865 48245
29aug19 14286  853 49098
10sep19 14808  522 49620
19sep19 15396  588 50208
03oct19 16396 1000 51208
01nov19 18110 1714 52922
03dec19 19354 1244 54166
02jan20 20745 1391 55557
01feb20 22100 1355 56912
01mar20 23434 1334 58246
01apr20 26572 3138 61384
01may20 30947 4375 65759
01jun20 37840 6893 72652
01jul20 39995 2155 74807
01aug20 43324 3329 78136
01sep20 46441 3117 81253
01oct20 47461 1020 82273
01nov20 49557 2096 84369
01dec20 51142 1585 85954
01jan21 55347 4205 90159
01feb21 58207 2860 93019
01mar21 61629 3422 96441
02apr21 65322 3693 100134

s 16nov18 1 0 0  0  maya: bulb
s 21nov18 2 1 0  0  maya: eeve x 2 | mali: natu
s 23nov18 0 1 0  0  mali: cubo
s 03dec18 0 1 15 8  mali: pine | maya: bulb x 2 + char x 2 + squi + pika x 4 + mare x 5 + drat & mali: char x 2 + squi + pika + larv x 3 + beld - community weekend event
s 15dec18 1 0 0  0  maya: cate
s 16dec18 0 2 0  0  mali: pine + magb
s 27dec18 1 1 0  0  maya: snor & mali: snor
s 10jan19 0 1 0  0  mali: magb
s 12jan19 0 1 8  3  mali: murk | maya: toto x 8 & mali: toto x 3 - community day event
s 19jan19 0 0 3  1  maya: minu | maya: feeb x 3 & mali: feeb - feebas event
s 21jan19 0 1 0  0  mali: minu
s 27jan19 2 1 0  0  maya: psyd + zigz & mali: psyd
s 07feb19 0 1 0  0  mali: murk
s 08feb19 0 0 0  1  | mali: melt - event
s 11feb19 0 0 0  1  | mali: melt - event
s 16feb19 0 0 7  7  | maya: swin x 7 & mali swin x 7 - community day
s 20feb19 1 0 0  0  maya: pine
s 23feb19 0 1 3  7  mali: pine | maya: clam x 3 & mali: clam x 6 + latias
s 28feb19 1 0 0  0  maya: eevee
s 10mar19 0 1 0  0  mali: cate
s 20mar19 0 1 0  0  mali: solr
s 23mar19 0 0 3  3  | maya: tree x 3 & mali: tree x 3
s 26mar19 0 1 0  0  mali: aero
s 30mar19 0 0 5  7  | maya: lota x 4 + cast x 1 & mali: lota x 3 + cast x 4 - weather-focussed event
s 05apr19 1 0 0  0 maya: cate
s 11apr19 2 0 0  0 maya: snub + shup
s 13apr19 1 0 5  3 maya: murk | maya: bago x 5 & mali: bago x 3
s 14apr19 1 0 0  0 maya: shel
s 20apr19 0 1 0  0 mali: shuc
s 21apr19 2 1 0  0 maya: bune + shuc & mali: shuc
s 28apr19 1 0 0  0 maya: tree
s 29apr19 0 1 0  0 mali: digl
s 30apr19 0 0 1  1 | maya: melt & mali: melt
s 01may19 4 1 2  0 maya: digl x 3 + sunk x 1 & mali: digl | maya: lugi + grou
s 02may19 1 0 0  0 maya: digl
s 03may19 0 0 0  2 | mali: melt x 2
s 07may19 0 1 0  0 mali: pich
s 10may19 0 1 0  0 mali: psyd
s 19may19 0 0 5  2 | maya: torc x 5 & mali: torc x 2
s 21may19 1 0 0  0 maya: sunk
s 22may19 1 0 0  0 maya: elek
s 25may19 0 0 2  1 | maya: lapr x 2 & maki: lapr - lapras event
s 07jun19 0 1 0  0 mali: anor
s 08jun19 0 0 6  2 | maya: slak x 6 & mali: slak x 2
s 11jun19 1 1 0  0 maya: anor & mali: onix
s 12jun19 0 0 0  1 | mali: cres
s 14jun19 7 5 0  0 maya: wail + swab + lota + mach + bron + sand + gast & mali: drif + dusk + larv + bude + swin | go fest
s 18jun19 1 0 0  0 maya: sunk
s 25jun19 0 1 0  0 mali: magb
s 26jun19 0 0 1  0 | maya: kyog
s 29jun19 1 1 2  2 maya: nidf & mali: digl | maya: raik x 2 & mali raik x 2 - raikou raid day
s 03jul19 2 0 0  0 maya: ratt-a & magb
s 05jul19 1 1 0  0 maya: toto & mali: elek
s 11jul19 0 1 0  0 mali: ratt-a
s 12jul19 1 0 0  0 maya: ratt
s 14jul19 0 0 2  1 | maya: ente x 2 & mali ente - entei raid day
s 18jul19 0 1 0  0 mali: toge
s 21jul19 0 0 4  4 | maya: mudk x 4 & mali mudk x 4
s 22jul19 0 1 0  0 mali: meow-a
s 24jul19 1 0 0  0 maya: eeve
s 26jul19 0 1 0  0 mali: koff
s 28jul19 1 2 0  0 maya: pins & mali: ekan + wail
s 29jul19 0 1 0  0 mali: koff
s 02aug19 1 0 0  0 maya: sunk
s 03aug19 0 0 6  5 | maya: 6 x ralt & mali 5 x ralt - ralts community day
s 04aug19 1 0 0  0 maya: pidg
s 07aug19 0 1 0  0 mali: meow-a
s 12aug19 1 1 0  0 maya: poli & mali: anor
s 14aug19 0 1 0  0 mali: ekan
s 15aug19 0 3 0  0 mali: elek + murk + smoo
s 17aug19 0 0 1  1 | maya: suic & mali: suic - suic raid day
s 18aug19 1 0 0  0 maya: iggl
s 19aug19 1 0 0  0 maya: bons
s 27aug19 1 0 0  0 maya: barb
s 29aug19 1 0 0  0 maya: barb
s 31aug19 0 1 0  0 mali: meow-a
s 01sep19 0 0 1  0 | maya: rayq
s 02sep19 1 0 0  0 maya: sent
s 06sep19 0 2 0  0 mali: sent & grim-a
s 13sep19 0 2 0  0 mali: farf & houn
s 15sep19 0 0 4  1 | maya: turt x 4 & mali: turt - turtwig community day
s 18sep19 0 1 0  0 mali: patr
s 19sep19 1 1 0  0 maya: mank & mali: grim-a
s 20sep19 0 1 0  0 mali: taur
s 21sep19 1 0 0  0 maya: yanm
s 22sep19 0 1 0  0 mali: nidf
s 23sep19 1 0 0  0 maya: bron
s 25sep19 0 0 1  2 | maya: gira & mali gira x 2
s 05oct19 2 0 0  0 maya: wyna & lill
s 08oct19 0 0 1  0 | mali: mewt
s 12oct19 0 0 4  2 | maya: trap x 4 & mali: trap x 2 - trapinch community tday
s 17oct19 0 1 0  0 mali: turt
s 18oct19 1 1 0  0 maya: vulp & mali: plus
s 23oct19 0 1 0  0 mali: ratt
s 26oct19 1 0 0  0 maya: natu
s 27oct19 1 1 0  0 maya: clef & mali: grow
s 28oct19 0 1 0  0 mali: pika-e
s 30oct19 1 0 0  0 maya: snea
s 02nov19 0 0 2  0 | maya: rste + rice
s 04nov19 0 1 0  0 mali: skar
s 08nov19 1 0 0  0 maya: iggl
s 13nov19 0 1 0  0 mali: maku
s 14nov19 0 1 0  0 mali: ekan
s 16nov19 0 1 8  4 mali: vulp | maya: chim x 8 mali chim x 4 - chimchar community day
s 21nov19 0 1 0  0 mali: magb
s 26nov19 1 0 0  0 maya: nidf
s 30nov19 2 0 0  0 maya: grim-a skar
s 02dec19 0 1 0  0 mali: patr
s 05dec19 1 0 0  0 maya: yanm
s 07dec19 2 0 0  0 maya: hors + scyt
s 09dec19 1 2 0  0 maya: burm-p-m & mali: onix + snor
s 10dec19 2 0 0  0 maya: glig + snea
s 12dec19 1 0 0  0 maya: scyt
s 22dec19 0 1 0  0 mali: elek
s 01jan20 0 1 0  0 mali: snea
s 10jan20 1 0 0  0 maya: pins
s 15jan20 2 0 0  0 maya: snub & oddi
s 19jan20 0 1 0  0 mali: bude | maya: pipl x 3 & mali pipl x 4
s 22jan20 0 0 0  1 | mali: heat
s 26jan20 0 0 2  0 | maya: latios and latias
s 29jan20 0 0 1  0 | maya: heat
s 01feb20 1 0 0  0 maya: magi
s 02feb20 0 1 4  2 mali: nidm | maya: minc x 4 & mali: minc x 2
s 10feb20 0 1 0  0 mali: ratt-a
s 11feb20 1 0 0  0 maya: seel
s 12feb20 1 0 0  0 maya: drow
s 15feb20 1 0 1  2 maya: yanm | maya: lick & mali: lick x 2
s 22feb20 1 0 4  3 maya: oddi | maya rhyh x 4 & mali rhyh x 3
s 29feb20 0 1 0  0 mali: eevee-partyhat
s 07mar20 1 0 0  1 maya: zigz | mali: dark
s 09mar20 1 0 0  0 maya: aero
s 14mar20 1 0 0  0 maya: medi
s 15mar20 0 1 0  0 mali: maku
s 19mar20 0 1 0  0 mali: aero
s 20mar20 0 2 0  0 mali: snea + ninc
s 21mar20 1 0 0  0 maya: grow
s 23mar20 2 0 0  0 maya: magn + snor
s 24mar20 0 1 0  0 mali: ratt
s 30mar20 1 1 0  0 mali: drow & maya natu
s 01apr20 2 0 0  0 maya: pooc + tail
s 04apr20 0 2 0  0 mali: sent + shel
s 05apr20 3 0 0  0 maya: nido-f + croa + aipo
s 13apr20 1 0 0  0 maya: exeg
s 15apr20 1 1 0  0 maya: pika-e & mali: pika-e
s 19apr20 0 0 13 5 | maya: anor + carv x 2 + chin + hors + krab + lile x 2 + mudk + pika-e + poli x 3 + tent & mali: chin x 3 + hors + tent - safari zone liverpool
s 22apr20 1 0 0  0 maya: illu
s 23apr20 0 1 0  0 mali: illu
s 24apr20 1 0 0  0 maya: volb
s 25apr20 0 1 7  4 mali: lill | maya: abra x 7 & mali: abra x 4
s 27apr20 0 1 0  0 mali: feeb
s 30apr20 0 1 0  0 mali: feeb
s 01may20 0 3 0  0 mali: chan + seel + poli
s 02may20 2 1 0  0 maya: char + nido-m & mali: tent
s 03may20 1 0 0  0 maya: pika-e
s 05may20 1 1 0  0 maya: hors & mali: hors
s 06may20 1 0 0  0 maya: exeg
s 09may20 0 0 14 2 | maya: bron + glig + krab + medi + mrmi + sand x 3 + seel + volt x 2 + yanm + zang x 2 & mali: volt + poli - safari zone philadelphia
s 14may20 1 1 0  0 mali: mach & maya: misd
s 16may20 1 1 0  0 mali: carv & maya: plus
s 17may20 2 1 0  0 maya: abso + pooc & mali: medi
s 20may20 2 0 0  0 maya: barb + wurm
s 22may20 2 0 0  0 maya: pika-e x 2
s 23may20 1 2 0  0 maya: snov & mali: croa + glam
s 24may20 0 1 4  5 mali: glam | maya: seed x 4 & mali: seed x 5 - seedot community day
s 25may20 1 0 0  0 maya: snov
s 27may20 0 1 0  0 mali: drif
s 29may20 1 0 0  0 maya: drif
s 30may20 1 0 0  0 maya: ratt
s 31may20 1 0 0  0 maya: veno
s 04jun20 0 1 0  0 mali: aero
s 20jun20 0 0 8  5 | maya: weed x 8 & mali weed x 5 - weedle community day
s 21jun20 0 1 0  0 mali: magm
s 22jun20 1 0 0  0 maya: clefairy
s 23jun20 1 0 0  0 maya: snea
s 27jun20 2 2 0  0 maya: ninc x 2 & mali: ninc x 2
s 28jun20 1 0 0  0 maya: wurm
s 29jun20 0 1 0  0 mali: shuc
s 30jun20 0 1 0  0 mali: grim-a
s 04jul20 0 1 0  0 mali: pika-e
s 05jul20 1 0 0  0 maya: hors
s 08jul20 1 0 0  0 maya: zuba
s 11jul20 1 0 0  0 maya: koff
s 17jul20 0 1 0  0 mali: wurm
s 19jul20 0 0 5  7 | maya: gast x 5 & mali gast x 5 - gastly community day
s 23jul20 0 1 0  0 mali: lill
s 25jul20 0 0 5  3 | maya: unoG + unoO + exeg-a + exeg + croa & mali: bude + qwil + mari
s 26jul20 0 0 14 7 | maya: bulb-pikahat x 2 + dura + magi + maro + heat x 2 + qwil x 2 + sabl + swab + tang x 2 + woob  & mali: bulb-pikahat + carv + gibl + maro + seve + tang + zang 
s 02aug20 0 0 0  1 | maya: rayq
s 08aug20 1 0 14 16 maya: misd | maya: magi x 14 & mali: deox-n & magi x 15 event
s 10aug20 1 0 0  0 maya: star
s 11aug20 0 1 0  0 mali: sabl
s 12aug20 0 1 0  0 mali: solr | maya: deox
s 14aug20 0 2 0  0 mali: star & balt
s 15aug20 0 0 0  2 | mali: gene x 2
s 16aug20 0 0 0  1 | mali: rose - go fest makeup
s 17aug20 0 0 2  0 | maya: gene x 2
s 21aug20 0 1 0  0 mali: misd
s 23aug20 1 0 0  0 maya: turt
s 31aug20 1 0 0  0 maya: turt
s 01sep20 0 1 0  0 mali: lota
s 02sep20 1 1 0  0 maya: magn & mali: tedd
s 09sep20 0 1 0  0 mali: zuba
s 13sep20 0 1 0  0 mali: dusk
s 14sep20 1 0 0  0 maya: scyt
s 16sep20 0 1 0  0 mali: veno
s 20sep20 0 1 0  0 mali: pido | maya: pory x 9 & mali: pory x 2 event
s 22sep20 1 0 0  0 maya: duns
s 23sep20 1 0 0  0 maya: duns
s 25sep20 0 1 0  0 mali: wail
s 28sep20 0 1 0  0 mali: exeg-a
s 03oct20 2 0 0  0 maya: kric & skit
s 07oct20 1 0 0  0 maya: croa-h
s 08oct20 0 1 0  0 mali: kric
s 13oct20 0 0 1  0 | maya: gira-o
s 15oct20 1 0 0  0 maya: houn
s 17oct20 1 0 0  0 maya: vulp
s 19oct20 1 0 0  0 maya: ekan
s 20oct20 1 0 0  0 maya: houndoom
s 23oct20 1 0 0  0 maya: bulb
s 25oct20 1 3 0  0 maya: spir & mali: drif x 3
s 30oct20 1 0 0  0 maya: shup
s 18nov20 0 0 1  1 | maya: viri & mali: terr
s 19nov20 1 0 0  0 maya: drow-shadow
s 26nov20 1 0 0  0 maya: gold
s 28nov20 0 0 1  2 | maya: nido-m & mali nido-f x 2 - nidoran event
s 29nov20 0 1 0  0 mali: gold
s 01dec20 1 0 0  0 maya: pidg
s 03dec20 0 1 0  0 mali: woob
s 04dec20 0 1 0  0 mali: lapr
s 07dec20 0 1 0  0 mali: pidg
s 10dec20 1 1 0  0 maya: woop & mali: woop
s 12dec20 0 0 1  1 | maya: elec & mali: regirock - community day year end/regirock raid weekend event
s 13dec20 0 0 0  1 | mali: regirock
s 14dec20 0 1 0  0 mali: woob
s 18dec20 1 0 0  0 mali: wobb
s 19dec20 2 0 0  0 maya: cubc + vulp-a
s 20dec20 0 1 0  0 mali: pika-explorer
s 21dec20 1 0 0  0 maya: cubc
s 23dec20 1 1 0  0 maya: jigg & mali: cubc-e
s 26dec20 0 1 1  0 mali: stan-e | maya: regice - weekend event
s 17dec20 0 1 0  0 mali: deli-e
s 29dec20 2 0 0  0 maya: vulp-a + deli-e
s 30dec20 1 0 0  0 maya: pika-e
s 31dec20 1 0 0  0 maya: cubc-e
s 01jan21 0 1 0  0 mali: slow-e
s 02jan21 2 0 0  0 maya: pidg + gold
s 12jan21 1 0 0  0 maya: pins-shadow
s 13jan21 0 1 0  0 mali: glam
s 15jan21 1 0 0  0 maya: buiz
s 16jan21 0 0 20 20 | maya: mach x 20 & mali: mach x 20 - machamp community day
s 22jan21 1 0 0  0 maya: medi
s 23jan21 1 0 0  0 maya: aron
s 26jan21 0 1 0  0 mali: grim
s 27jan21 1 0 0  0 maya: aipo
s 30jan21 0 0 3  3 | maya: snea x 3 & mali snea x 3 - sneasel event
s 03feb21 1 0 0  0 maya: skor
s 04feb21 1 0 0  0 maya: grim
s 05feb21 0 1 0  0 mali: murk
s 07feb21 0 0 9  9 | maya: rose x 9 & mali rose x 9 - roselia community day
s 09feb21 0 1 0  0 mali: milt
s 13feb21 0 0 1  0 | maya: latios
s 15feb21 1 1 0  0 maya: snor & mali: nidf
s 16feb21 1 0 0  0 maya: illu
s 20feb21 0 0 8  8 | maya: mank + drat + oddi + eeve x 2 + ditt + gast & mali: eeve x 2 + hitm + mach + drat + ditt + squi + bulb
s 22feb21 0 1 0  0 mali: oman
s 23feb21 2 1 0  0 maya: char + oman & mali: geod
s 24feb21 0 1 0  0 mali: pidg
s 25feb21 1 1 0  0 maya: char & mali: drat
s 27feb21 0 1 0  0 mali: krab
s 28feb21 0 0 1  0 maya: arti x 2
s 01mar21 0 0 1  0 | maya: land-i
s 05mar21 1 0 0  0 maya: drow
s 06mar21 0 0 8  8 | maya: flet x 8 & mali: flet x 8 - fletchling community day
s 08mar21 1 0 0  0 maya: glam
s 09mar21 1 0 0  0 maya: spoi
s 10mar21 4 0 1  0 maya: aron + geod-a + geod + beld | maya: torn-i
s 11mar21 2 0 0  0 maya: geod + rogg
s 12mar21 1 1 1  0 maya: rogg & mali: geod | mali: thun-i
s 14mar21 1 2 0  0 maya: magn & mali: ralt + beld
s 21mar21 1 1 0  0 maya: elec & mali: elec
s 27mar21 0 0 2  0 | maya: rayq x 2
s 31mar21 0 2 0  0 mali: shup & spoi
s 02apr21 1 0 0  0 maya: wurm
s 03apr21 1 0 0  0 maya: wurm
s 06apr21 1 1 0  0 maya: bunn & mali: exeg
s 08apr21 1 0 0  0 maya: bunn
s 09apr21 0 2 0  0 mali: wurm x 2
s 10apr21 0 1 0  0 mali: bunn
s 11apr21 0 0 5  4 | maya: sniv x 4 & mali: sniv x 5 - snivy community day
s 12apr21 1 0 0  0 maya: illu


Lucky trades

This reports the distribution (histogram) of lucky trades since I started keeping track of them. The first line below gives the start trade, the end trade, the total trades made, the number of luckies encountered, and the average number of trades made to obtain a lucky trade.

The second group of lines gives the histogram values. The first column is the range when the lucky trade occurred and the second is count. For instance, the number of luckies encountered between 0-10 trades is given in first line, between 11-20 trades in the second line, and so on. The one thing I got out of this is that if you don't encounter a lucky by the 20th trade or so, it might not happen for a while (as many as 100 trades, which is when I decided to start keeping track, but easily 30+ and sometimes more). Most of the luckies happen before the 20th trade (which is natural given the odds) but if it doesn't, best to keep trading throwaways until you encounter the lucky. This is especially relevant for the timing of legendary/special trades.

The third group twenty lines shows the frequency of when the trade becomes lucky. First column is count and second is the number of trades made when the lucky happened. In other words, a trade became lucky after [second column] number of trades [first column] times.

Start: 2310 | End: 6629 | Total: 4319 | Luckies: 235 | Average: 18.38

 0-10 90
11-20 64
21-30 30
31-40 29
41-50 10
51-60 5
61-   7

  24 1
  12 3
  10 5
  10 11
   9 16
   9 12
   8 9
   8 19
   8 15
   7 7
   7 4
   7 2
   6 8
   6 6
   6 35
   6 18
   5 29
   5 21
   5 20
   4 44
   4 39
   4 25


Pseudointellectual ramblings || Ram Samudrala || me@ram.org